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RAM Ratings reaffirms ratings of CIMB’s domestic entities

Published on 19 Aug 2020.

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RAM Ratings has reaffirmed CIMB Group Holdings Berhad’s (the Group) AA1/Stable/P1 corporate credit ratings (CCRs) and the AAA/Stable/P1 financial institution ratings of its Malaysian banking subsidiaries – CIMB Bank Berhad, CIMB Islamic Bank Berhad and CIMB Investment Bank Berhad. Concurrently, the ratings of the entities’ debt/sukuk facilities have also been reaffirmed (Table 1). The one-notch difference between CIMB Group’s long-term CCR and the long-term AAA financial institution ratings of its Malaysian banking subsidiaries reflects its structural subordination as a non-operating holding company and its moderate holding-company debt load at the holding-company level.

The reaffirmations are premised on our view that CIMB Group’s pre-provision earnings and capitalisation provide a sound loss absorption capacity to ride out the credit downcycle brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic. The Group enters this turbulent period in a stronger position, having strengthened its common equity tier-1 capital ratio to 12.5% as at end-March 2020 from 10.0% five years ago. 

CIMB Group’s ratings continue to incorporate its strong universal banking franchise and systemic importance in Malaysia. Within ASEAN, the Group is the fifth-largest banking group by assets, with a presence in all 10 countries in the region. In Malaysia, the Group is the second-biggest lender and is designated by Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) as a domestic systemically important bank. The Group is expected to benefit from government support in times of need.

While CIMB Group’s regional operations enhance its franchise, they give rise to greater asset quality pressure relative to domestic peers. Indonesia and Thailand, which collectively account for a quarter of the Group’s loan book, have weaker track records of loan quality and the pace of their economic recovery is expected to lag Malaysia’s. While temporary loan relief measures are available across the Group’s main markets (Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand and Singapore), these will not fully mitigate widespread disruptions caused by the pandemic. 

The Group’s gross impaired loan (GIL) ratio had risen to 3.4% as at end-March 2020, although this is not reflective of the COVID-19 induced stress given that about 67% of domestic loans were under moratorium or had been restructured/rescheduled at the end of April 2020. Loans in its other markets have also come under various loan forbearance programmes although at a much lower proportion. The GIL ratio had deteriorated from 2.9% as at end-December 2018 mainly due to a handful of corporate borrowers and will likely climb further. Nonetheless, we take cognisance of reduced higher-risk exposures in Indonesia (e.g., mining sector) and Thailand (e.g., SMEs) over the years.

CIMB Group expects its credit cost ratio to spike to 100 bps-120 bps in fiscal 2020 (fiscal 2019: 46 bps). This range includes pre-emptive provisions to be built up during the year and full provisions for two oil and gas borrowers (equivalent to credit costs of 25 bps) in Singapore that defaulted this year. The heftier provisions and margin compression arising from multiple policy rate cuts will result in significantly lower earnings in the near term. These factors, coupled with weaker trading income, caused the Group’s pre-tax profit to tumble 55% y-o-y to RM714 mil in 1Q fiscal 2020, translating into an annualised return on risk-weighted assets of only 0.9%. 

CIMB Group is primarily funded by deposits, which are supplemented by wholesale funding that is diversified in terms of currency and instrument. The liquidity coverage ratios of its key banking subsidiaries were all above 130% as at end-March 2020 while their net stable funding ratios had exceeded the requirement of 100%. We expect the Group’s liquidity to remain sufficient despite the six-month loan moratorium that temporarily diminishes the cash inflow of banks.

Given the challenging operating environment, CIMB Group will emphasise capital preservation and apply its dividend reinvestment scheme to future dividend payments. The scheme had been well received in the past, seeing an average take-up rate of 79% since inception. Meanwhile, the Group has availed itself of the regulatory flexibility accorded by BNM in fully releasing its RM2 bil of regulatory reserves in 1Q 2020. This had lowered its GIL coverage ratio to 76% (end-December 2019: 100% inclusive of regulatory reserves). The Group’s capitalisation will be largely intact after 2020 when it will need to rebuild its regulatory reserves based on BNM’s requirement.

Table 1: Issue ratings of CIMB’s domestic entities

Instrument

Rating

CIMB Group Holdings Berhad

RM6.0 billion Conventional/Islamic MTN Programme (2008/2038)

AA1/Stable

RM6.0 billion Conventional CP Programme (2015/2022)

P1

RM10.0 billion Additional Tier-1 Capital Securities Programme (2016/-)

A1/Stable

CIMB Bank Berhad

RM10.0 billion Tier-2 Subordinated Debt Programme (2013/2073):

  • Issuances prior to 1 January 2016 with non-viability events linked to CIMB Bank Berhad
  • Issuances on or after 1 January 2016 with non-viability events linked to CIMB Bank Berhad as well as CIMB Group Holdings Berhad and its subsidiaries

 

AA1/Stable

AA2/Stable

 

RM10.0 billion Additional Tier-1 Capital Securities Programme (2016/-)

A1/Stable

RM20.0 billion MTN Programme (2017/-)

AAA/Stable

CIMB Islamic Bank Berhad

RM10.0 billion Sukuk Wakalah Programme (2017/-)

AAA/Stable

 

 

Analytical contact
Wong Yin Ching, CFA
(603) 3385 2555
yinching@ram.com.my

Media contact
Padthma Subbiah
(603) 3385 2577
padthma@ram.com.my

 

The credit rating is not a recommendation to purchase, sell or hold a security, inasmuch as it does not comment on the security’s market price or its suitability for a particular investor, nor does it involve any audit by RAM Ratings. The credit rating also does not reflect the legality and enforceability of financial obligations.

RAM Ratings receives compensation for its rating services, normally paid by the issuers of such securities or the rated entity, and sometimes third parties participating in marketing the securities, insurers, guarantors, other obligors, underwriters, etc. The receipt of this compensation has no influence on RAM Ratings’ credit opinions or other analytical processes. In all instances, RAM Ratings is committed to preserving the objectivity, integrity and independence of its ratings. Rating fees are communicated to clients prior to the issuance of rating opinions. While RAM Ratings reserves the right to disseminate the ratings, it receives no payment for doing so, except for subscriptions to its publications.

Similarly, the disclaimers above also apply to RAM Ratings’ credit-related analyses and commentaries, where relevant.

Published by RAM Rating Services Berhad
© Copyright 2020 by RAM Rating Services Berhad



Rating Rationale: CIMB Group Holdings Berhad

Rating Rationale: CIMB Bank Berhad

Rating Rationale: CIMB Islamic Bank Berhad

Rating Rationale: CIMB Investment Bank Berhad

Ratings on CIMB Group Holdings Berhad

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